Yes. The UK breached the Sahm Rule in every month from June to September 2025. But what exactly is the Sahm Rule? It was developed by Claudia Sahm, a former Federal Reserve economist who writes extensively on macroeconomics, labour markets, and economic data. It focuses on movements in the unemployment rate. Specifically, if the unemployment rate rises by more than 0.5 percentage points relative to its lowest level over the previous 12 months, this is considered a warning si

GPT generate image of Trump meeting Mamdani “It’s the economy, stupid.” Sometimes it takes a comedian, not a political analyst or an economist, to say the quiet part out loud. Tim Dillon—one of America’s sharpest and most irreverent comedians—recently offered a blunt explanation for Zohran Mamdani’s surprise victory in New York’s mayoral race. Beneath his trademark sarcasm was a diagnosis that cuts to the heart of Western politics today. Why did Mamdani win? “Because people d